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Carter’s visit ….Iraq A double prisoner

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In an unannounced visit    on Monday, US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter arrived to Bagdad and met with Iraqi Prime Minister , Haider al-Abadi and Defense Minister Khaled al-Obeidi. He also met the President of the international coalition forces led by the United States, the Lit.General Sean MacFarland . The secret visit comes in the context of the international war against al Daash terrorist, and in preparation for the battle of Mosul. And the US Secretary of Defense telephoned the president of  Iraq’s Kurdistan region, Massoud Barzani, in a move to emphasize that his country does not lay its eggs in the government basket alone, especially that of the Peshmerga forces have proven high capability in the face of Daash while the army and security forces are still in Baghdad depend heavily on the militia of ruling parties to resolve the situation on the ground in the face of Daash. The United States pledged to support the Kurdish Peshmerga in  battling against Daash in Mosul  of an aid amounting to $ 415 million.

It is worth to noted that  a high-ranking US official and confidential  visit of secretary of Defense Ashton Carter to Baghdad  does not come unless there is a qualitative shift on the battlefield against al Daash terrorist and Perhaps this shift that precipitated the visit  was  that it came after two days of the restoration of Iraqi forces to control the Qayyarah air base south of the city of Mosul of the strategic importance, so the United States  wanted  to employ these restoration to serve its interests at the current stage and to foresee any dangerous Iranian step in the presence of militias of the “crowd” or “Revolutionary Guards” in the strategic command base. In this context, US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter  announced in Baghdad that his country would send an additional 560 soldiers to Iraq to help in the fight against al Daash and get ready for the battle of Mosul. Which means, that Washington may share a limited number of troops in view of the difficult condition of  it on condition  not pushing the militias of  “popular crowd” in it because of its practices and abuses  in Iraq, especially in the aftermath of the battle of Fallujah. This is what was told to Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi by Ashton Carter, but he feared the occurrence of the Iraqi prime minister under Iranian pressure may cause to change the equation, with the insistence of private militias to participate on the grounds claiming  that they would not enter Mosul and stay outside. With this new number of US troops deployed in Iraq, the number will rise to more than 4,600   element  and most of them offer advice and are training Iraqi forces.

The visit comes to achieve several objectives, including persuading or forcing Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and Defense Minister Khaled al-Obeidi, that allow advisers of his country who are in Iraq  to get benefit from Qayyarah base,the most of the strategically location  in the Battle of the restoration of Mosul . It is not unlikely that this situational demand turns into a standing order, especially in light of the continued flow of American advisers to Iraq, suggesting that the target is beyond the task of defeating Daash terrorist to a desire to the United States in the redeployment to Iraq and search for strategic locations to facilitate the work of the American military in the future. And it does not hide its fears from the Iranian military and intelligence presence in Iraq, especially as it has been welcomed by the National Alliance, which controls the central government in Baghdad.

The purpose of US from this visit to prevent Iran from the deployment  its military “advisers”  in strategically important locations, especially  in Qayrrah  which is the area of “cut” between  geographical stretches coming from Iran up to the north-west in Iraq, where  it contacts with Syria and Hezbollah forces there. And ignoring   the Iranian intelligence stretch between Iraq and Syria to create a future problem for the Americans who are rushing now to return to Iraq under the cover of the war on Daash to prevent  the full Iranian exclusivity of it.

The United States needs  an advanced and intermediate base among its allies . Qayyarah  provides an ideal place in the intersections of allied forces from the Kurds and the tribes in the national crowd (Sunni) and the Iraqi army. And  Qayyarah base is away enough from the zones of traditional  popular crowd  Unlike Fallujah, where the likelihood of friction between the incoming US forces and Iranian-backed militia .Experts said that the selection of Qayyarah is also important because it is relatively free of the population, making the movement to and from  is distant from the threats  of the organizations that are nearby of Daash .

And it is consistent with this analysis what was announced by Asturn Carter when he told reporters ahead of his visit to Baghdad that the US forces would help Iraq in establishing a logistics center at the airport, which restored  on Saturday by Iraqi forces out of the hands of militants of Islamic state regulation . Carter added that the center will be used to advance toward Mosul, the stronghold for militants  of the Daash . Carter told reporters that “the goal is to establish a logistics center there, and there would be US logistical support .” The airport – according to what was said by Carter – “one of the centers that Iraqi forces , supported by us,  consultation   whenever it needed it, completing the encirclement of the South of Mosul fully. “it is understood from these statements that the United States will  convert the Qayyarah base into a permanent US base in Iraq after  Daash  in the framework of  conflict of  influence on it.

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The Qayyarah 58 kilometers south of Mosul  is the largest base of strategic military bases. Al-   Qayyarah  base  is a strategic place in the war on Daash in northern Salahuddin province down to the city of Mosul areas  because of its strategic location and the nature of the role that it plays . Qayyarah base  (  Air Force Saddam Base earlier) 16 km west of Qayyarah in Nineveh province and a 60 km south of Mosul, 330 km north of Baghdad, and near the road between Mosul and Baghdad.
Al – Qayyarah base has played an important role during the Iran – Iraq war , where it was home to squadron of Mirages and  MiG-23 and MiG -25 (which are the latest Iraqi air force aircrafts at the time). and  Qayyarah base  was built late of seventies by the Yugoslavian companies within the project of giant bases to take advantage of the Arab wars with Israel , the lessons of 1967 and 1973, and was considered at the time the largest base in the Middle East.
the base comprises of the  two runways  of  3505 length m and 3596 m and approximately 33  fortified aircraft hangars spread  in  the base and    there is a fence surrounded the base  with a diameter of 20 km and with fence there is a green belt of trees surrounding the  base  to obscure the vision  and confidentiality and security, as well as a residential area for workers in   the base . the base   was  subject  to intense bombardment during the 1991 Gulf War and after the invasion of 2003 ,  the US  forces used the Base  as a camp for it  after the rebuilding of the runway and control tower and in 2010 handed  over to Iraqi forces, and was one of the main air bases in Iraq, and remained used until 2010 when handed over to Iraqi forces, as it has become a base for the flight of the Iraqi army and  and as a camp for it.
the base – west of Qayyarah , However was fallen to the hands of  Daash in June 2014 after the withdrawal of Iraqi troops from it  without a fight.
and  the  organization  Daash took  Qayyarah base a camp and a military base for it , as well as a prison, as it had been exposed during the control of  Daash to intensive air raids by the Iraqi aviation and  international coalition, and since just 2015 the organization  started  to sabotage  the air base by the demolition of buildings and the sale of its ruins as materials of  construction, as  one of the merchants from Syria  bought  it from the organization and the transfer of construction materials and furniture  to Syria . The retrieval  of it can be taken as the basic military foothold south of Mosul  for use in the operations of  liberation of the city from the control of  Daash.

The second objective of the visit of US Secretary of Defense for Iraq Ashton Carter comes to emphasize the desire of US President Barack Obama to end the battle of Mosul as soon as possible, in order to provide a great achievement for the potential president of the United States  for the Democratic nomination, Hillary Clinton,  here she can start it with a  convenient term as president in a sensitive file, such as Iraq. As it  comes  to strengthen   Haider al-Abadi position after the decline in popularity following the bombing of Karrada   and the terrorist suicide bombing that targeted Mohammed Hadi shrine in the district of Balad of Salahuddin province, and the willingness of the Sadrist movement and civil power to organize a demonstration, next Friday, against the government.

Iraq today  gives us a picture    just like what it was the case of the Arab poet Abu Ala Marri who was called by the description : A double prisoner( the hostage  of two prisons)  “blind and  House”, thus  Iraq is  a double prisoner (  a hostage of two prisons )  ” the Iranian and American competition and conflict,”  on  it, which is in dire need since 2003 to the Arab role  to save it from these two prisons. Before it’s too late.

Rawabet Research and Strategic Studies Center

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